Message 4 of 21

What to do

Hello,

I am a novice with portfolios, and I do have a professional manager whose integrity I do trust. As soon as I can get my work life more in balance, I will spend more time learning and monitoring my small nest egg together with my advisor.

I understand that no one has a crystal ball, but I wonder about the intermediate? term outlook especially for the domestic market. Again, I don't really grasp economics well, but I wonder about the structural problems in the U.S. with so much debt, etc.

I just turned 65 (and there are some benefits), and although I don't intend to withdraw funds from my portfolio for maybe 8-10 years at least, if my portfolio crashes as it did in the 2001-2002? market, I don't know that I would I would have enough time to recover more than my original capital investment level. So what's the point...I don't know whether forecasters or technical analysis methods tend to forecase such a looming crash in the near future.

My current portfolio is:

Equitites-Mutual Funds, ETF,
Columbia Fund Series Trust Mid Cap Value Fund Class B 13.7%
Growth Fund America Inc, Class B 14.5%
Rydex Trust S&P 50 Pure Value 12.9%
Rydex ETF Trust S&P Midcap 400 Pure VAlue 15.8%
Capital Income Builder Fd, Class B 25.0%
Thornburg Invest Trust Invt Inc Builder Cl A 14.9%
Henderson Euro Focus
EFT Global Div Achievers--mainly European
Kensington Inter'l Real Estate - global
Stock
Alianz SE sponsorsed - stock

What are other peoples' approaches as to when they think the market might take a major correction???

Thanks,

Sue
photo of enodeus
Hey Sue,

"What are other peoples' approaches as to when they think the market might take a major correction???'

Nothing, actually. Here are a few quotes from several folks that I follow from time to time on the general subject:

“Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections or trying to anticipate corrections, than has ever been lost in corrections themselves.” Peter Lynch

“Successful investors know that bear markets will happen and that they cannot be predicted with a high degree of accuracy.” Larry Swedroe

"Investors find it hard to believe that ignoring the vast majority of investment noise might actually improve investment performance." (quote from Richard Bernstein)

“I’ve said “Stay the course” a thousand times, and I meant it every time. It is the most important single piece of investment wisdom I can give to you.” Jack Bogle, “Common Sense on Mutual Funds

~~~~~

Sit tight and enjoy the view.
photo of SeminoleMike

8 months ago
Did you ev er consider a variable annuity? With your time frame as stated, you can be an aggressive investor with guarantees. Is it worth a fee to you to know that your income base will double in 10 years even if there is a prolonged bear market?

In spite of what the experts say, variables are selling like mad for the simple guarantees they offer - and are badmouthed by the naysayers.
photo of luckyzee

8 months ago
Dear Sue,

Before you invest another dime or change any of your investments you need to do some homework.

I tried looking up some of your investments, but it is hard to do because there are so many similar fund names within a fund family.

It is much easier to list the ticker symbols for each investment instead of the names.
These may be hard to find for the fact that your broker/investment manager doesn't want you to know them.

Of the funds I looked at, all had a high sales load (I may have been looking at the wrong fund so it is important you know exactly which funds you have).
I am willing to bet your money manager lives in a much nicer neighborhood than you do, as well as a bigger boat, nicer car, ETC...

Please use Yahoo Finance or MSN Money to research your investments.
For every fund you own, you should be able to find an alternative fund that is in a low expense family such as Vanguard, Fidelity, or T. Rowe Price. They will have a fund that matches the same objective as the funds you own in a NO LOAD fund. You need to check the total expenses for any given fund.

You should pay no more than 1.00% for just about any fund. They are out there!!!

A sales load of 5% will cost you about $2,000.00 for every $10,000.00
of your investment in 10 years. That's your money!!!! Don't give it to some slick salesman.

At your age you should be concerned with preservation of your capital with income investments. These won't let you live on the Riviera but they churn out steady income and are reasonably safe.
You still want to a good mix of funds and your current portfolio looks like this is the case just make sure you aren't paying too much in toatal sales charges.

You shouldn't own any individual stocks, at least not a large percentage of your total portfolio. No more than 5% total for all individual stocks. You don't have the time to recover any major setbacks.

Also look at least 5 and better 10 years returns for any given fund to make sure it can weather the turbulance of the market.

Now ETF's shouldn't have any sales load, you should only have to pay a commission like you do when buying and selling an individual stock.
So if you paid any more than a commission that is a concern.

Even though you say you won't have to draw from this portifolio for 10 years or so. Fifty people on this site could tell you different.
We just don't know what the future has in store for each of us.

There is a wealth of info out there. I learned from reading magazines such as Money, Kiplingers, Smart Money, Barron's, the Wall Street Journal. Money magazine is an easy read for neophytes. They give good examples of people of all ages in all walks of life with different investment situations.

Please take responsibility for your investments, it is your hard earned money after all.

I hope this info is useful.

Sincerely, nocrash
photo of nocrash

8 months ago
Hi there,
I particulary (?) enjoyed nocrash's comments....After all, most " advisors" will ring up heavy sales loads....Why do you think they become successful advisors? I fired my advisor 20 years ago ( friend of my wife's )...Gee, wonder why I haven't heard from her in 20 years? Also fired Fido ( er..Fidelity ) because of their high mgmt fees ( ever notice Father and Abigail Johnson are amongst the richest people in America? )... Vanguard seems to be good, low fees, if you DIY...just my humble opinion. As far as integrity goes, it goes as far as what goes into my pockets, not somebody else's.
photo of BIG1ED

8 months ago
Hi Sue,

I don't know who advices you but, whoever he/she is, is not a certified financial planner. If I am wrong maybe you should sue.

At any rate, the obvious problem with your portfolio is that you don't own any bonds. At least, it does not seem obvious that you do (I will not inspect your funds in detail to find out for sure. Just ignore the comment if I am wrong). At your age you should have between 40% and 60% of your portfolio in bonds.

You are a prime candidate to get some advice from Ray Lucia. Look at the first 4 chapters of his book, Buckets of Money.

Good luck,

photo of fran5632

8 months ago