Message 11 of 48

foreign stocks

Has anyone noticed how closely the various stock markets are correlated? I was getting into foreign stocks, thinking that they were safer but that doesn't seem to be the case.

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The old joke was that when the U.S. got the sniffles, Europe got the flu. The markets are strongly related. A problem in Russia or Asia ripples around the world. Most of the money made in foreign stocks now is strictly a currency play. The Euro goes up as the dollar goes down. Works the other way too. I favor country ETFs where said country is a major source of natural resources. Basic commodities have going to the moon for two years. One materials ETF I have is up 50%. I expect some roller coaster action but it's pretty hard to make wheat and iron out of BS so long term they're pretty solid bets.

photo of nightree

8 months ago
I agree with what you said aobut the U.S sneezing, but current wisdom was saying that the other economies are so strong that our sneezes wouldn't effect them. I don't see that scenerio playing out.

I worry aobut the basic materials. If we go into a recession and drag the world with us then there won't be much demand for basic materials. I did act on the idea that food prices were going to go up and bought MON, MOS, MOO, and BG and got killed.
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8 months ago